MarketPulse

Weekly transaction value hit AED 26.71 billion — the highest recorded week in Dubai's history. This isn't seasonal noise or a single mega-deal inflating the number; it's broad-based volume at elevated pricing. When weekly run rates sustain above AED 20 billion for consecutive periods, it signals institutional capital is still deploying at scale despite three years of price appreciation. The correction everyone's waiting for isn't materializing because demand fundamentals — population growth, Gol

Off-plan transactions captured 65% of January volume at AED 25.98 billion — a 45% year-on-year increase. When two-thirds of market activity is tied to future delivery, completion risk becomes the dominant variable for capital preservation. Developers with proven handover track records are now trading at premiums to new entrants. The market is bifurcating: established names with 2024-2025 delivery histories command investor confidence, while untested launches face longer absorption despite aggres

Mortgage-financed transactions fell to 16% of total volume as high-net-worth buyers deploy capital directly to secure priority access and developer discounts. This shift reduces systemic leverage risk but also signals pricing has reached levels where traditional financing doesn't pencil for yield-focused investors. When 84% of buyers pay cash, the market becomes less sensitive to interest rate movements but more vulnerable to liquidity shocks in source markets — watch capital flows from India, U

Properties priced above AED 2,000 per square foot posted 20.4% annual appreciation as Dubai's population approached 4.5 million with a daytime peak of 6.1 million. This demographic expansion — driven by Golden Visa holders, corporate relocations, and family-focused immigration — is absorbing supply faster than developers can deliver. The luxury segment isn't overheating; it's repricing to reflect permanent residency demand rather than transient investor speculation. Areas like Palm Jumeirah and

End-user buyers now represent 85% of transaction volume — a structural shift from the speculator-heavy cycles of 2013-2014. Buyers are prioritizing larger homes, wellness-focused communities, and immediate occupancy over quick flips. This composition change extends price cycles because owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb volatility. When the market is dominated by residents rather than traders, corrections become shallower and recoveries slower — but the floor is higher because distressed sel